JTA: The Global News Service of the Jewish People

Breaking the 70 percent barrier

By Eric Fingerhut · October 23, 2008

First a poll of Floridians and now a national poll shows Barack Obama is making significant gains among Jews.

A Gallup October tracking poll found Obama leading John McCain among registered Jewish voters by a margin of 74-22 percent. Obama’s share of the vote in the monthly Gallup survey has risen five points since September and 13 points since July. The October poll was based on 564 interviews conducted Oct. 1-21 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 5 percent.

In addition, a Qunnipiac University poll of Florida voters found Obama winning 77 percent of the Jewish vote, compared to just 20 percent for McCain. That poll, taken Oct. 16-21, surveyed 87 Jewish voters and had a margin of error of plus or minus 10.5 points.

The polls suggest that after months of hovering around 60 percent, Obama appears to be in striking distance of the 75-80 percent of the Jewish vote won by the three previous Democratic nominees.

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Obama surrogates courting Jewish vote

By Eric Fingerhut · October 23, 2008

Polls show Barack Obama is ahead in Virginia, and the Obama campaign is working to ensure a victory by spending some time courting the Jewish vote with two well-known surrogates.

Former U.S. Ambassador to Israel, and onetime Hillary Clinton supporter, Martin Indyk will be making his first public appearance on behalf of the Democratic nominee tonight at the Weinstein Jewish Community Center in Richmond for a program entitled “A Discussion about Senator Barack Obama, the Middle East and Israel.”

Then, on Tuesday, October 28, a similar program is slated in Virginia Beach with former Middle East negotiator Dennis Ross at the Sandler Center for Performing Arts.

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Political tidbits: Obama up big among Fla. Jews, Shulman gaining on Garrett? (UPDATED)

By Eric Fingerhut · October 23, 2008

• Did the Great Schlep work? A new Quinnipiac poll has Florida Jews going 77-20 for Obama. That number would put Obama in line with Jewish support of the Democratic candidate in the last few presidential elections – and that’s in a state where a lot of resistance to Obama among Jewish voters had been reported a couple months ago. UPDATE: According to the Quinnipiac Polling Institute, the Jewish sample in the poll was 87 people, or 6 percent, which gives it a sizable margin of error of plus or minus 10.5 percent.
• “Blind Rabbi” Dennis Shulman and incumbent Rep. Scott Garrett (R-N.J.) have their first debate, and it’s not friendly. The candidates clashed over Israel and health care, reports the New Jersey Jewish News.
• Meanwhile, Politico speculates that the GOP is worried about losing Garrett’s seat, although a party spokeswoman denies it. For his part, Garrett just started running a television ad calling Shulman “too extreme for New Jersey” and sent out a mailer accusing Shulman of supporting “talking to terrorists.”
  Shulman’s campaign responded by calling Garrett “desperate” and comparing him to Karl Rove and Michelle Bachmann
  
• The head of Vote From Israel claims the deciding votes in a close presidential election could come from the 42,000 U.S. voters living in the Jewish state, reports the Jerusalem Post.
• Some Jewish Democrats complain to the Forward that the Conference of Presidents circulated invitations to John McCain’s “tele-town hall” meeting on Sunday.
  
• Howard Fineman blogs at Newsweek that Jewish donors frightened by Sarah Palin were one reason Barack Obama raised so much money in September.
• If John McCain won’t bring up Rev. Jeremiah Wright as a campaign issue, then Jonathan Mark of The Jewish Week doesn’t trust McCain to speak out against anti-Semitism as president.
  
• The economic crisis is dampening enthusiasm for McCain among the Russian Jewish community, reports The Jewish Week.
• And some in the Jewish community see the economic crisis forcing increased engagement with Iran under a new president, writes Jim Besser in The Jewish Week.
• The Forward reports on the Obama campaign’s courting of the Brooklyn Orthodox community at a sukkah in Williamsburg.
  
• Whitefish salad, nova, bagels, latkes and a couple black and white cookies were on the menu when Obama visited a South Florida deli with Reps. Robert Wexler (D-Fla.) and Debbie Wasserman Schultz (D-Fla.) on Tuesday afternoon, reports Jake Tapper at ABC News.
• How does an editor decide whether to publish a letter that contains false information about the presidential candidates? The Jewish Week’s Gary Rosenblatt explores that issue.
  
• Larry Yudelson, in the Jerusalem Post, finds problems in McCain’s repetition of the phrase “Judeo-Christian values.”
• Eitan Haber, in YNet, is not excited, to say the least, about a Barack Obama presidency and it implications for Israel.
  
• Obama adviser Dan Kurtzer is optimistic about Israeli-Palestinian peace talks in an Obama presidency, according to the New Jersey Jewish News.
  
• Alan Dershowitz’s research assistant objects to the Harvard law professor’s endorsement of Obama, in the Jerusalem Post.
• Washington Jewish Week talks to some young Jews who made The Great Schlep.
• Could Wyoming have a Jewish member of Congress? Some polls say it’s possible, according to the Wyoming Tribune Eagle.

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JCER’s newest project, post-schlep

By Eric Fingerhut · October 20, 2008

The latest entrant in the Jewish newspaper ad wars is the Jewish Council for Education and Research. The group that came up with “The Great Schlep” is making a $30,000-40,000 ad buy in three Jewish newspapers over the next couple weeks – all six localized editions of the Jewish Journal in South Florida, as well as the Detroit Jewish News and the St. Louis Jewish Light.”

The group worked with ad hoc coalitions of supporters for some of the ads to come up with locally-driven content, said a spokeswoman for the group.

For instance, in Detroit, the ad features a quote from Obama talking about restoring “confidence in our economy” and states “Don’t be complacent. John McCain has not left Michigan” – a response to the decision of the McCain campaign earlier this month to shift resources from the state elsewhere. The St. Louis ad features a list of local Obama supporters.

The ad appearing in Florida is more provocative. Headlined “Sarah Palin: Anti-Choice Radical,” it features a photo of anti-abortion protesters laying down in a street and charges Palin wiith “carrying water” for the “Christian right” on the issue as mayor of Wasilla, Alaska.

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Schlepping with the pro-Obama schleppers

By Ami Eden · October 20, 2008

JTA’s Ben Harris was on the ground in Florida for “The Great Schlep.” Here’s his video report:

Here’s his companion article on the senior vote in Florida, and whether race will end up being as big a factor as some observers think:

‘Schlep’ puts focus on Jewish seniors, race issue
By Benjamin Harris
BOCA RATON, Fla. (JTA) – Fred Wolff is pretty explicit in laying out the reason why he won’t support Barack Obama on Nov. 4.

A survivor of the Dachau concentration camp who came to the United States as a teenager, Wolff told JTA he typically favors Republican candidates. This year he would have preferred former governors Mike Huckabee of Arkansas or Mitt Romney of Massachusetts.

But despite his misgivings about John McCain, the Republican nominee, Wolff said there’s one reason he would never consider supporting Obama.

“I think that many of the blacks – I was going to say shvartzes, but I’ll say blacks – many of the blacks are anti-Semitic,” Wolff said. “I’m not going to vote for the black guy. No, never. I don’t want him. I don’t like the crowd that surrounds him. They may be quiet right now, and they may be even hiding in the bushes. But you wait, if he wins, they’re going to come out.”

While Obama has labored for months to beat back false claims that he is a Muslim and soft on Israel, the talk as the election heads into its final weeks has focused on the one aspect of the Democrat’s biography he is powerless to change: his skin color. And with polls showing Obama lagging in Jewish support behind earlier Democratic presidential candidates, concern among some of his supporters has grown that older Jewish voters, clustered in critical swing states and besieged by advertising stoking concerns about his position on Jewish issues, could tip the balance to McCain.

It was precisely this worry that led a new pro-Obama group, JewsVote.org, to urge young Jews to visit Florida over Columbus Day weekend to lobby their grandparents on Obama’s behalf. The effort, known as “The Great Schlep,” received a huge boost last month from foul-mouthed comedian Sarah Silverman, who appeared in an Internet video touting the Schlep that has been viewed more than 7 million times.

Following in the footsteps of Jon Stewart’s “The Daily Show” and several coventional media outlets, Silverman painted older Jewish Floridians as balking at backing Obama because of his race.

The data suggest that such concerns might be overblown.

A recent survey by the American Jewish Committee found that Obama’s support was greater among older Jews than younger ones, a finding that some observers have said is too unbelievable to be true. On the ground in Florida, many grandparents of “schleppers” told JTA that they were leaning toward the Democratic candidate anyway, even before their grandchildren paid them an unexpected – if highly appreciated – visit.

“I think that elders are getting a bad rap with the assumption that they are going to allow racism to cloud their judgment about what really is the best choice for our country and our interest in being advocates for Israel and the Jewish people,” said Rabbi Dayle Friedman, who directs a center for Jewish aging at the Reconstructionist Rabbinical College in Philadelphia and is a vice chair of Rabbis for Obama. “My experience with elders is that they are far more open minded than people give them credit for.”

Several surveys of American Jews have shown Obama hovering at around 60 percent, about 10 points below where John Kerry was polling at a similar point in the presidential race four years ago.

“Over the years, there’s been some slippage in the numbers in terms of support for the Democrats,” said Ari Wallach, the co-founder of JewsVote and its parent organization, the Jewish Council for Education and Research.

The Great Schlep is “a way of ensuring that that does not continue, not only down here in Florida but across the country,” he said.

The Obama campaign, which drew a small army of Jewish volunteers to Florida thanks to the Silverman video, dismissed the sluggish poll numbers and expressed confidence that Obama would top Kerry’s figure of 76 percent of Jewish support.

“We don’t have a Jewish problem, the Republicans have an election problem,” Halie Soifer, the campaign’s Jewish vote director in Florida, told a group of Jewish volunteers from across the country on Oct. 10.

Soifer said McCain’s dip in the polls is giving Republicans nightmares, prompting them to hurl every slur imaginable in an effort to reverse the decline. And while she acknowledged that race may play a role in the minds of the Jewish voters she has targeted, insinuations about Obama’s background are being heard less and less.

“We are seeing a surge in support,” Soifer said. “I go to condos where I used to go a few months ago. And there was skepticism at that time. They didn’t know enough about Senator Obama. And now people just want to know how they can help.”

Among those former skeptics are Kenny and Selma Furst, lifelong Democrats and residents of one of the mythic “condos” and retirement communities that dot the South Florida landscape. Selma Furst had heard all the rumors about Obama’s religion and his stance on Israel, but there was one thing that really made her uncomfortable.

“If I may say the color wasn’t what I really wanted,” said Selma Furst. “And I just thought that no, I don’t think he’s going to be good. And I wasn’t too crazy about his wife.”

The Fursts’ grandchildren are fervent Obama supporters, and through e-mails and phone calls they were eventually able to sway their grandparents. So much so that Furst organized a Sunday afternoon meeting at their retirement community in Tamarac so their grandson, schlepper Mike Bender from Los Angeles, could address their friends.

By the end of Bender’s Oct. 12 speech, the 100 or so elderly voters were chanting “Yes, we can,” the unofficial slogan of the Obama campaign.

But even before hearing Bender’s pitch, the bulk of the crowd appeared to be solidly backing Obama. Several said that if Jewish voters had any fears about Obama, they were trumped by concerns about McCain’s choice of running mate, Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin.

“I wouldn’t vote for Sarah Palin if I didn’t vote at all,” said Estelle Zucker, a resident of Kings Point in Tamarac. “I think McCain made a big mistake by taking her.”

A lifelong Democrat, Zucker confessed to being on the fence in this election for the first time in her life. Obama’s “friends,” Zucker said, are anti-Semitic. She also worries about his position on Iran and Israel.

“That’s why I can’t go full-heartedly into this election, but I definitely will not vote for McCain,” Zucker said. “I don’t like Sarah Palin. She could be very nice – I like nice ladies – but I don’t like what she stands for.”

32 Comments | Share This | Barack Obama, Florida, John McCain, Presidential Race

Political tidbits: Obama effigy found in Ohio, McCain townhall reaction

By Eric Fingerhut · October 20, 2008

• A man hangs an Obama effigy in his front yard – with a Star of David on the top of his head – and freely admits he doesn’t want a black man as president. The Huffington Post has the video from a local TV station in Ohio.
• John McCain isn’t going to bring up Obama’s relationship with Rev. Jeremiah Wright, but won’t ask the Republican Jewish Coalition to stop putting him in their ads, according to Newsweek.
  
• McCain turned down an opportunity from Rabbi Shlomo Riskin yesterday to talk about Wright at a Jewish “tele-town hall meeting.”
• M.J. Rosenberg rips Riskin for spending years living in Israel and yet presuming to advise U.S. presidential candidates on strategy, at TPM Cafe.
• Jim Besser of The Jewish Week felt the McCain meeting seemed too staged.
• Menachem Rosensaft on McCain’s “pals” like Phil Gramm and Randy Scheunemann, in the Huffington Post.
• Here’s the National Jewish Democratic Council’s newest print ad, making the case that Obama-Biden will protect Israel and achieve energy independence.
  
• And here’s the Republican Jewish Coalition’s new television ad, using Hillary Clinton to criticize Obama for saying he’d meet with the leaders of rogue states.
  
• Every church and synagogue in the United States is going to receive the anti-radical Islam film Obsession, according to Marketwatch. It’s coming enclosed with a new right-wing, anti-gay marriage and anti-abortion publication called The Judeo-Christian View, which is backed by a couple Orthodox rabbis and charges that Obama’s support of partial-birth abortion is akin biblically to child sacrifice.
• Daniel Pipes plays the Muslim card, claiming that Obama wouldn’t get a security clearance if he becomes president.
  
• Rep. Debbie Wasserman Schultz (D-Fla.) tells CBS’s “Face The Nation” that Sarah Palin has “really disturbed” the Jewish community in Florida, according to UPI.
  
• Richard Heideman and Steve Grossman face off as surrogates for McCain and Obama in Boston, reports the Boston Globe.
  
• Adam Brickley, one of Sarah Palin’s earliest fans in the lower 48, has gone from being an evangelical Christian to a “messianic Jew,” notes the New Yorker in a Palin profile.
  
• Our daily look at the Florida Jewish vote today comes from the Chicago Tribune.
• The Jewish Press endorses John McCain.
  
• “Family Guy” briefly compared McCain and Palin to Nazis last night, according to Hollywood Today.
  
• Sarah Silverman talks to Katie Couric.

1 Comment | Share This | ads, Barack Obama, Debbie Wasserman Schultz, Florida, hillary clinton, Iran, Joe Biden, Joe Lieberman, John McCain, Massachusetts, Nevada, NJDC, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Presidential Race, Primaries, Sarah Palin, syria, Tidbits

RJC turns to TV (UPDATED)

By Eric Fingerhut · October 20, 2008

Voters in Ohio, Florida, Nevada and Pennsylvania will see this television advertisement frequently over the next two weeks. The Republican Jewish Coalition has spent more than $1 million to run it in those four swing states.

The ad uses the tag line that the RJC has used in many of its controversial print ads: “Concerned about Barack Obama’s naive foreign policy? You should be.” But the ad itself is relatively non-controversial and straightforward. It uses clips from the July 2007 debate in which Obama said “I would” meet with the leaders of Iran, Syria, Venezuela, Cuba and North Korea – and Hillary Clinton’s subsequent criticism of Obama for that statement.

UPDATE: National Jewish Democratic Council executive director Ira Forman responded that he thought the ad was “milquetoast,” and felt Colin Powell’s endorsement yesterday of Obama and his foreign policy judgment would garner more attention than the RJC ads – which he called “spitting into the wind.”

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McCain talks Palin and Jerusalem, but not Wright

By Eric Fingerhut · October 19, 2008

John McCain called Sarah Palin a “threat to the left-wing feminist liberal movement” and passed up an opportunity to criticize Barack Obama’s relationship with Rev. Jeremiah Wright in a “tele-town hall” with Jewish leaders and supporters Sunday morning.

McCain also discussed his views on the status of Jerusalem, saying in his opening statement that “Jerusalem remains undivided” and then repeating twice that the city “is undivided and must remain the capital of Israel” – seeming to avoid a future commitment on the city’s unity by only utilizing the present tense. He added that he would “never press Israel into making concessions that would endanger its security.”

Then, at the end of the call, he asked Sen. Joe Lieberman (I-Conn.), who had introduced McCain on the call, to “mention again our view” on the status of Jerusalem. Lieberman noted the trip he and McCain had taken to the Jewish state in March, in which they talked about that issue with Israeli leaders, and said Jerusalem’s status was one of the “matters to be discussed between Israelis and Palestinians if there’s ever genuine negotiations.” Lieberman then added that McCain knows the “historic Jewish claim” to the city and “it’s clear he will not be included in efforts to divide Jerusalem.”

(Taken as a whole, this appears to mean that while McCain would not support a division of Jerusalem, he also would allow the Israelis to make their own decision on the issue in any future negotiations. This is similar to Obama’s position. The Democrat originally told AIPAC that Jerusalem “must remain undivided,” then the next day said that it should be a matter left to negotiations.)

Lieberman did emphasize that McCain has promised to move the U.S. Embassy to Jerusalem “as soon as he becomes president,” a pledge Obama has not made.

McCain was asked by American-born Israeli Rabbi Shlomo Riskin why he hadn’t raised Obama’s close association with the controversial Wright, which Riskin said he found much more problematic than Obama’s affiliations with unrepentant terrorist William Ayers or ACORN – which has been accused of voter registration fraud. McCain responded that the “issue of Pastor Wright is pretty well known by the American people.” On the other hand, he said, “We need to know more about” the Ayers and ACORN matters.

In response to questions about Palin, the Republican nominee said his vice presidential selection threatened the “left-wing feminist liberal movement” because she’s the mother of five children as well as a “reformer, a conservative, a tax-cutter and a spending cutter.”

Lieberman, calling her “very able,” then joined in to say that while Palin “holds some positions on social issues which, I’ll be honest, I don’t agree with,” she “holds them in a very respectful way.”

“She respects people who come to the other position,” he said, and “I find her not to be ideological in a rigid sense. She’s a practical problem solver.”

He added that the vice presidential nominee “has a deep love for the state of Israel” equal to McCain’s.

The “tele-town hall” was billed as a meeting with Jewish leaders from various organizations, but judging from the questioners it appeared the audience included many backers of the candidate. Just one of the five questioners identified himself as being affiliated with a Jewish organization (one questioner said he worked for Agudath Israel) and at least four of the questions came from men and women who identified themselves as supporters of McCain.

3 Comments | Share This | Barack Obama, Israel, Jerusalem, Joe Lieberman, John McCain, Presidential Race, Sarah Palin

Trying to tie Jesse to Barack

By Eric Fingerhut · October 17, 2008

Jesse Jackson may have denied saying that Zionists control American foreign policy , but that didn’t stop the McCain campaign from using the remarks to attack what they called Barack Obama’ “poor” record on Israel.

In a conference call with reporters on Wednesday afternoon, McCain Florida Jewish outreach campaign co-chairs Rep. Adam Hasner and Rep. Ellyn Bogdanoff, and top McCain foreign policy adviser Randy Scheunemann argued that Jackson fit a “pattern” of “advisers” and “associates” of Obama who they said are not strong friends of Israel – from Samantha Power to Robert Malley to Gen. Merrill McPeak

“Sen. Obama does not have a record that can give Jewish voters comfort,” said Hasner.

“You have to judge him by the company he keeps,” said Bogdanoff.

But Jackson isn’t an adviser to Obama, and the two hardly seem to have a warm relationship – considering Jackson threatened to cut Obama’s private parts off earlier this year. Asked why they kept referring to “advisors” or “associates” in regard to Jackson when they don’t appear to be particularly close, Bogdanoff said that Obama has “had a close relationship” with Jackson, claiming that the civil rights leader had helped Obama in his rise through the Chicago political world.

Ryan Lizza’s lengthy articleon Obama’s rise in Chicago politics from this summer mentions Jackson twice – once to note that Jackson’s daughter is a close friend of Michelle Obama’s, and the other recounting that Jackson was the featured speaker at an anti-war rally Obama also spoke at before the Iraq war began.

Scheunemann then responded that the campaign had, in a press release earlier that day, merely called Jackson a “supporter” of Obama.

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One more Obama music video

By Eric Fingerhut · October 17, 2008

MTV might be able to have a whole category tilted “Best Obama-related Video” at its Music Video Awards next year. First it was Will.i.am, then it was Zoe Kravitz joining Will.i.am, and now it’s “hip-hop violinist” Miri Ben-Ari recording a music video for Barack Obama – with some support by hip-hop mogul Russell Simmons and fashion designer Marc Ecko. The Israeli-born Ben-Ari’s video is her version of the U.S. National Anthem, entitled “Stand With Me,” interspersed with snippets of Obama speeches.

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